Moon Sports > Basketball > Eastern Conference Semi-finals G3: Pacers VS Cavaliers The Cavaliers are facing a cliff battle. Can the injured return away?
Eastern Conference Semi-finals G3: Pacers VS Cavaliers The Cavaliers are facing a cliff battle. Can the injured return away?
Prematch Interpretation:
Playoffs 05-10 07:30 Indiana Pacers vs. Cleveland Cavaliers
The first two games have been played. Who dares to imagine that the Pacers will lead the Cavaliers 2-0 in a row in the away game? The most important game in G2 is to complete the reversal after falling behind by 20+ points away; at the last moment of the G2 game, Halliburton missed the free throw and grabbed the frontcourt rebound, and then retreated to complete the three-pointer.
Facts have proved that the team basketball interpreted by the Pacers shines brightly in the playoffs. According to statistics, the Pacers have played a total of seven games in the playoffs, except In the first round, only four players scored in double digits, and in each other game, at least six players scored in double digits. It feels like the offensive system of head coach Carlisle is really a bit of an argument; the team's egalitarianism seems to have been implemented, and they are now the most average score team in the league. The last time someone in the team scored more than 30 points should be March 18;
Pacers' team basketball mainly depends on the trust between players, the execution ability of players, and the evolution of players. The Pacers now have a feeling of the Warriors in the 14-15 season. It's just a way of sharing the ball. Although it's not as perverted as the shooting level of the water splash, the tall guys' core is still more advantageous in the league that is now open to the confrontational scale;
From last year's Eastern Conference Finals to the playoffs again this year, the baptism of players has been more sublimated. Needless to say, Halliburton, Insider, Inner Shao and Turner are all very hard in the playoffs, it's hard to imagine that this is just their second year of entering the playoffs; of course, the coach Carlisle's coaching ability is even more unspeakable;
Thinking about it on the other hand, as a team, they have been working together for two consecutive years. However, there is a way to solve the power outage on the court. In addition to the starting five tigers, Matherin, who has been away from the system, has kept the suspense in the game. He can undoubtedly still play the role of a surprise soldier.
There are hidden dangers in the Pacers now. There are naturally some injuries. Halliburton's left wrist injury in G2 game is an injury. In two games, there are many mistakes, G1 makes 16 mistakes and G2 makes 17 mistakes; and there is also a gap in shooting opportunities. To put it bluntly, the Pacers' strong playoffs are, and the strength is that the key ball ability has improved this year.
As the boss of the team, Halliburton's growth is actually a bit slow, but at least he dares to drop the ball at a critical moment; the insider's defense and offense feel is also higher than last year; Matherin's pursuit phase also makes up for the regret of lacking attacking assaulters in the playoffs last year; although Siakam's condition has declined, his playoff experience can help the team; Turner still needs to improve his basket's homework ability; but the only thing that is undeniable is that they have never been bad at the Pacers when the error tolerance rate is extremely low, which seems to be a kind of metaphysics, and it seems that this is also the Pacers' unspeakable spirit of Reggie Miller.
The visiting Cavaliers lost two consecutive games at home, which may be something that no one expected. The Cavaliers' defeat in G1 did not seem to have pressured head coach Atkinson. In the game of G2, he still believed that the depth of the lineup could suppress the Pacers, continued to let Garland rest, and put away the injured Mobley and Xiangte;
As a result, in the game of G2, they almost led the first three quarters, leading the Pacers at most 20 points. The Cavaliers used their defensive strength to limit the Pacers' score, but in the fourth quarter, when the Pacers also showed the corresponding defensive strength, the star Mitchell had burned out his physical strength and scored 4 in the game. Even 8 points were unable to make the situation come true; especially when the Cavaliers only scored 7 points in the last three minutes of the fourth quarter, and when the opponent Pacers scored 24 points in the last three minutes, it seemed to prove that the Cavaliers had gone out;
In the game of G1, it felt like the Cavaliers were like the Timberwolves in G1, and they had no strength at all; as a result, in the game of G2, they started to fight for their lives, and the physical slots in the back were cleared, but after watching the game of G2, they found that except for Jerome who was committing crimes and 1 of 14 shots in the game, the rest of the players performed almost perfectly, but there were three people on the list of Cavaliers' injury, so Jerome could play.
Atkinson, who has no trump card, seemed to be able to count on Mitchell to play every ball, but in the last minute, all the five Pacers started were in shape and all made contributions. On the contrary, no one of the Cavaliers could stand up in the last minute. The Cavaliers did have physical strength problems, and there were three main players left, and even the deepest rotation would have problems. This led to the final kill and steal of Nam, just like hitting the deer.
The Cavaliers, as the top seed in the East, are currently behind the series 0-2, and it can be said that they have reached the moment of a back-to-back; in terms of lineup, Garland has no choice and is bound to come back; and the best defensive players of the year, Evan Mobley (sprayed ankle) and DeAndre Hunter (sprayed thumb), are still doubtful; trying to play is not the same concept as being able to play effectively, so I can only hope that the injury will be relieved. Last season's playoffs, Jarrett Allen missed eight consecutive games due to rib pain, but the injury report only described it as a "bruise".
However, this time the Cavaliers' injury was obviously not the imagined game with their opponents through injury reports (for example, keeping suspense). These three players also said in a post-match interview that they hope to play, but assuming that these three Cavaliers cannot play in key games in G3, it only means that the situation may be more serious than imagined. After all, the intensity of the regular season and the intensity of the playoffs cannot be compared!
The one that needs to be wary of the most is Mitchell. He actually played with a calf strain in G2, but the injury report shows that he will play in G3. Obviously, the team needs him as a playoff player. Judging from the content of G2, the Cavaliers lack more ball holders, so whether Garland can play will be the X factor of the victory or defeat.
Head coach Atkinson said after the game that the exhaustion of players' physical strength seriously affected decision-making; it was obviously a bit contradictory, and the regular season saved players, but it did start the playoffs with a healthy lineup, but it gave people the feeling that the Cavaliers are becoming more and more inclined to be glass-like, which is not a good thing!
However, judging from the fact that the Cavaliers have lost three players in the G2 game, the rules can still give the Cavaliers a threshold of 5.5 points at home, the gap in strength between the two teams is actually quite large.
The back-to-back game can inspire the despair of the Cavaliers players. The author also believes that there are most likely no players in the Cavaliers' lineup that want to lie flat, so in the G3 game, at least two young players, Garland, Mobley and Xiangte, should be able to return, the three young men, Garland, Mobley and Xiangte, will not watch the team fall into a desperate situation; and the facts have proved that Jerome is indeed only suitable for playing in the rotation stage, and he has no way to consume those players. Mitchell needs Garland and Mobley to share;
Of course, what I want to say more is that the important thing is not when the three injured will come back, but the entire Cavaliers team, including the coaching team, must have a correct attitude. The situation where the lead is 7 points in 48 seconds can never happen again!
The rule now gives the Cavaliers a threshold of -2.5 points away, while the total score threshold is a threshold of 230.5 points.
Theoretically, the Cavaliers are still the one who has the advantage in the away game of G3, and the threshold for concessions from the rules can be clarified.
But to be honest, if we look at the threshold of -5.5 points at home in G2, they do not have only home advantage at home, so in other words, Garland, Hunter and Mobley away games in G3, the three players, Garland, Hunter and Mobley, are likely to play. Although the injury reports are all doubtful, the old man believes that at least two players will appear in the game;
According to the data of the first two games, ESPN predicts that the Pacers' average winning rate will not exceed 35%, and the Pacers will lead 2-0;
The Pacers' first game is only 28.4%, and the second game is 40.4%, but the current winning rate in the third game is far greater than the previous two games, which means that the rules still recognize the Pacers' home advantage.
The corresponding Cavaliers' team with excellent projection, lineup depth, height and wingspan and offensive creativity is the only shortcoming in the eyes of the outside world.
History tells us that the team behind 0-3 has never made a comeback; you can imagine that the Cavaliers are actually in a passive position in the away game of G3.
Pacers' head coach Carlisle is worthy of being a famous coach. His development on the offensive end has reached the extreme, with 5 shots + 5 runs and double controls, which further maximized the small balls that the Mavericks often beat up to a large number of starting lineups in the league that lost a lot of points in the league. On the defensive end, although it is not as good as the Celtics' 5 switch defense, at least 3-4 people can switch defenses;
So the author guessed that if the Cavaliers are really healthy, will they be restrained by the Pacers or can they suppress the Pacers?
Last year's Pacers were a team possessed by good luck before the Eastern Conference Finals. Whether it was playing the Bucks or the Knicks, they all occupied a healthy factor, although they finally gave benefits to the Celtics;
And this year's Pacers were injured again when they passed the Bucks in the first round. Now, the Cavaliers are injured in the second round;
You have to believe in metaphysics!
Of course, the most essential thing is that with the Pacers' current team basketball style, there is currently no shortcoming in the lineup. It can be said that the offense can match anyone, so in the playoffs, they are likely to play with any team.
Don't forget, the Pacers reimbursed Wiseman and Isaiah Jackson for one week at the start of the season, and then Nesmith injured another half of the season. Halliburton's hamstring has been problematic. After the adjustments later, the record is actually not much different. Don't forget, the Pacers were very strong in entering the Eastern Conference Finals last year, and there are still Mathering this year. There are no injuries in the lineup now, and there are many people playing steadily. Can you really underestimate it?
The corresponding Cavaliers played well in the regular season, and they also strengthened the forward line of Xiangte before the trading deadline. In terms of image and strength, they are on the advantageous side when playing against the Pacers.
So now the rules give the Cavaliers a threshold of -2.5 points away? No, in terms of the Cavaliers' three-point shooting percentage this season, it is equivalent to a goal difference;
Cavaliers head coach Atkinson has too little coaching experience in the playoffs, and his first round of the Heat was too smooth, which made him feel good about himself, just like the author remembered the Lakers' head coach Redick.
While one rises and the other falls, although the Cavaliers have strengthened their offense overall, they are hard to describe the defensive end. The goal of G2's winning goal is that the outside line is too short and cannot interfere with Halliburton's three-pointer in the retreat.
The total score threshold is still inclined to the two teams' total scores higher than expected, so imagine that the Pacers will return to the familiar home court and their shooting percentage should be more worth looking forward to!
Comprehensive trade-offs, the author is optimistic that the Pacers will continue to win in G3, and the Cavaliers may not break or stand in G4!
Direction: Pacers +2.5 points
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