Tomorrow s lottery! What is the probability of each team winning the top 4 picks? Three teams exceed 50%, and the Spurs may trade very big

As the playoffs deepen, the offseason is getting closer and closer, and tomorrow is the annual draw meeting. What kind of fate will some teams have next season? The ranking of the draft will be determined tomorrow. Today we will see how likely the teams that hope to win the top four picks are.

52%: Jazz, Wizards, and Hornets

, all three teams have a 52% chance of winning the top four picks, and a 14% chance of winning the No. 1 pick directly. For the Jazz, as long as they fall out of the top four tomorrow, they will fail. If they can draw the No. 1 pick, it means that they can choose Flag and they can complete the reconstruction immediately. The goal of next season is to achieve the record. The suspense of the No. 2 pick will not be very high, and it is most likely Flag. Then the Wizards and the Hornets will also choose Flag. In addition to the No. 1 pick, Dylan Harper will be the best choice, and this is a good player to hold the ball. If the Hornets draw the No. 1 pick, then many young people in the team may not be able to keep it now. Once the management changes, the team building idea will be completely different: Pelicans, 76ers, Nets, Raptors

Pelicans have the fourth best chance of drawing lots, with a 48% chance of drawing the top four picks, and a 12.5% ​​chance of drawing the No. 1 pick. The Pelicans also asked Zion to draw lots as representatives. Can he choose his junior? After the selection, what will happen to Zion's fate in the Pelicans?

76ers have a 42.1% chance of choosing the top four picks, and the probability of winning the No. 1 pick is 10.5%. The 76ers now have the Big Three. If they draw the No. 1 pick, then George and Embiid may be traded because the health of these two people is difficult to guarantee, so it is better to build a team around the No. 1 pick and Maxi.

The probability of the Nets' top four picks is 37.2%, and the probability of the No. 1 pick is 9%. The Nets have four first-round picks this year, and their management also expressed that they do not intend to carry out long-term reconstruction. They also have the largest salary space in the league this summer. In no more than two years, the Nets' lineup will have a qualitative leap.

The Raptors have a top four pick with a probability of 31.9%, and the probability of getting the No. 1 pick is 7.5%. The Raptors now have a number of outstanding talents, such as Ingram, Barrett, Barnes, etc., but the team is just one top insider. However, there are many good insiders outside the top four picks, so you can consider choosing or trade your first round pick down.

15%+: The Spurs, Rockets, Trail Blazers

The probability of the Spurs getting the top four pick is 26.3%, and the probability of getting the No. 1 pick is 6%. The Spurs' inside line is now at the top of the league. If they get Flag, they will have the best inside team in the league; it doesn't matter if they can't get it, you can use a high pick to choose a trade. After all, Antetokounmpo or Durant will appear in the free market this summer.

Rockets are also rich and capable teams. They made it to the playoffs this year, played a tiebreak with the Warriors, and have a lot of draft pick reserves. The probability of getting the top four pick is 17.3%, and the probability of getting the No. 1 pick is 3.8%. If you don’t get the No. 1 pick is likely to stay. Like the Spurs, they also want to trade a superstar to help them go further.

The probability of the Trail Blazers getting the top four pick is 16.9%, and the probability of the No. 1 pick is 3.7%. They are now in the stage of reconstruction and have established a good winning culture. The only thing that is short is a top young cornerstone. If they fail to draw the top four, they need to consider using other first rounds to trade a talent with a high pick.