US media predicts the probability of active stars retiring on the home team: James retires in Lake only 50%, and 4 players exceed 90%

On August 8, there were not many big-name stars choosing to change teams this offseason. The letters that were most popular before, now look at him will stay in Milwaukee, and he will most likely stay in the team for a long time. In this case, many fans also believe that the letters will eventually end up with the Bucks, but according to Shams, the letters have not been confirmed to stay, and everything is unknown. Speaking of this, the US media previously predicted the probability of active stars retiring from the home team. Let’s take a look at it together?

The fifth level

The probability of retirement in the home team is only 20%. Among the three goals, Zion and Morant are almost impossible to retire in the home team. First of all, Sangoals and Zion are both famous glass men. If the Hornets and Pelicans still cannot succeed around them, the team will probably lose patience to trade and send them away. Morant's playing style is too talented. If the talent is squandered, I don't think the Grizzlies will choose to keep him for a long time.

The fourth level

This level is a player with a 35% chance of retirement in the home team. It is almost impossible for him to retire from his current team, including Durant, Mitchell, Harden, Halliburton, Trae Young and Irving. If Durant hadn't reached a certain age, he might be in the fifth place. Durant is now asking for a two-year contract of 120 million yuan with the Rockets. If the Rockets renew his contract, I think he is likely to retire with the Rockets, rather than continue to leave.

Mitchell tried his best in the Cavaliers, and everyone has seen that Mitchell paddled in the regular season. He was fully fired in the playoffs just to help the team win. As a result, there was no helper in the playoffs, and the grand formation became a paper tiger. He should go to a stronger team. After Harden completed this two-year contract, I think he might go to the Rockets or leave his salary cut. Of course, the Clippers may not ask him for it at that time unless he is willing to accept a significant salary cut.

Halliburton was seriously injured. If he could not recover from his peak, it is not ruled out that the Pacers would send him away. The Pacers boss has no money, and he does not want the team to play badly, so if Harry has no value, the team will trade him. Trae Young can't get the Hawks' contract extension now, so the Hawks also want to see if the lineup in the new season is not good, they can give up Trae Young. Irving signed a three-year contract with the Mavericks. If he cannot recover from his peak, he may indeed be sent away by the team. The probability of retiring in the home team in the third level is 50%, including James, Embiid, Davis, Edwards, Banchero, Cunningham and Butler. James had a quarrel with the Lakers before. If Doncic hadn't come out to support James, the two sides might have broken up completely. James wants to continue playing and want to retire to the Lakers to tour, of course it depends on whether the Lakers are willing or not. Whether Embiid can recover from his peak after injury is also the key to whether the 76ers will keep him, but if he really cannot recover from his peak, his contract will be a bit premium.

Danny Brows are deeply loved by Harrison. I guess he will play for the Mavericks for a long time, but I don’t know whether he will retire here. After all, if he loses his peak, the team may abandon him. The three prides of heaven, Edwards, Cunningham and Benchero, are now in the situation that the team is willing to keep them, but if they can't achieve results, will they choose to force the palace to leave the team for honor after they mature? This is not impossible.

Butler is at his current age and has a 2-year contract with the Warriors. I don't think he will retire after two years of playing, but it's hard to say whether he is with the Warriors. The probability of retiring in the home team in the second level is 75%, which means a high probability, namely Doncic, Leonard, Lillard, Tatum, Antetokounmpo, Brunson, Vinban and Jewish. Doncic previously stated that he would stay with the Lakers. As long as there is no accident, they are probably willing to cooperate for a long time. The same is true for Jewish to the Thunder. Unless the letter wants to leave, the Bucks will not give up on him. Brunson and Wenban are also the cornerstones of their respective teams.

Lillard returns to the Trail Blazers this time and has also cut his salary. His purpose is to retire at the Trail Blazers. I think more than 95% of him may retire at the Trail Blazers. Tatum depends on his injury. If he cannot recover from his peak due to his serious injury, according to Stevens' personality, he will not be kept for a long time. The probability of retiring in the home team in the first level is 90%, namely Curry, Jokic, Alexander and Booker. As long as Curry doesn't leave, the Warriors will not give up on him. This is the number one person in the team history. Jokic had no idea of going to the big ball market, and he was willing to live a life in a small ball market like the Nuggets. Thunder gave Alexander everything he wanted, and he had no intention of leaving to chase more attention. He was expected to win more honors in Thunder to pursue his historical status. Booker got Sun's contract renewal, and Sun has always regarded him as the absolute cornerstone. Booker was able to get a big contract here, and both parties were very satisfied.

Speaking of this, what do you want to say about your prediction this time? Welcome to leave a message for discussion.