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Premier League Preview: Aston Villa vs Fulham Score Prediction

Aston Villa 1-2 Fulham

Core Analysis

1. Comparison of League Situation and Fighting Intention

Aston Villa: Ranked 19th, 3 points (5 rounds 1 draw and 4 losses), 0 points from the relegation zone, 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 losses at home, and huge pressure to relegate

Fulham: Ranked 4-11th, 8-10 points (5 rounds 2 draw and 1 losses), 6-8 points from the European War Zone, 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 away record Loss, full of motivation to attack European games

Fighting intention assessment: Villa is eager to relegate at home; Fulham's away game has a fair fighting spirit

2. Comparison of home and away performance and status

vs. Aston Villa (home) Fulham (away) advantaged party has 3 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss at home and away games, 11 goals conceded 7 goals, 2 wins, 1 draws, 3 losses, 7 goals conceded 8 goals Aston Villa has 0 wins, 1 draws, 4 losses in the last 5 games, 0-0 draws, ending the goal drought in the last 5 games, 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss in the last 5 games, and 3-1 in the last round, averaging 1.83 at home Ball, the middle and upper league averaged 1.17 goals per game in the away game, Aston Villa's defensive performance in the middle and lower league averaged 1.17 goals per game in the home game, the middle and upper league averaged 1.33 goals per game in the away game, Aston Villa's ball control ability in the middle and lower league averaged 54%, and the 11th highest away game possession rate in the away game is 48%, which is lower than the average season Aston Villa

3. Historical confrontation and psychological advantage

The last 5 confrontations, Aston Villa has won 5 wins 0 draws 0 losses, and has obvious psychological advantage

Latest confrontation (May 2025): Aston Villa 1-0 Fulham

Aston Villa has played Fulham for the last 3 at home The game is completely won, and the home game has a significant advantage

Historical data shows that Villa has formed a significant psychological suppression of Fulham, but the status gap this season has been greatly narrowed

4. Tactical characteristics and style collision

Aston Villa Tactics: 4-4-2 formation, focusing on breaking through on the flank + penetration of the middle line

Forward Watkins and Diaby form a partner, both impact and flexibility

Middle court with Tillermans and Kamala as the core, responsible for organizing offense and defensive interception

Home more active: Strengthen high-pressing and increase offensive level

Main weaknesses: low offensive efficiency, 0 goals in the first four rounds of the new season, until 5th The round breaks the goal drought

Fulham Tactics: 4-2-3-1/4-3-3 formation, focusing on midfield control + wing offense

Midfield double midfielder Harrison and Reim are responsible for defensive interception and organization

Wide players frequently insert, providing width and cross threat

Outside more conservative: shrink the defense line, reduce ball control, focus on defensive counterattack

Main advantages: balanced offense and defense, no obvious shortcomings, good condition in recent years

Tactical collision: Aston Villa's wing breakthrough and middle penetration just restrain Fulham's dense defense in the middle; Fulham's away tactics are conservative, and it may be difficult to play its offensive characteristics

5. Core players and injuries affects

Aston Villa core:

Watkins (No. 11): forward core, 3 goals and 1 assist in 4 games, hot state

Tielmans (No. 8): midfield commander, strong organization and dispatch ability

Diabi (No. 19): good breakthrough on the wing, very fast speed

Fulham core:

Jimenez: forward fulcrum, strong body, and is the offensive core

Sand Borg: midfield core, strong organization and dispatch ability, offensive and defensive conversion hub

Harry Wilson: good breakthrough on the wing, accurate crossing

Injury:

Aston Villa: defender Marty Cash, midfielder Bubaccar Kamara, Andres Garcia (Expected to return on September 21)

Fulham: No injuries, complete lineup

Impact assessment: Aston Villa has relatively mild injuries, and the core lineup remains intact; Fulham has no injuries, and the lineup is neat

6. Gambling data and professional forecasts

Asian handicap: Aston Villa Jean - 0.25 goals, moderate water level, the market is slightly optimistic about the home team

European losses data: Aston Villa wins 2.20-2.25, draws 2.90-3.30, Fulham wins 3.00-3.80

Professional consensus: Most analytical institutions predict that Aston Villa wins 1-2 goals, and the winning rate is generally **50%-55%** Total goal expectations between

: 2-3, the total number of goals scored in the last three matches of the two teams has ≥2

Conclusion

Comprehensive analysis shows that Aston Villa will lose 1-2 to Fulham at home. The main basis is as follows:

status comparison and recovery trend: Fulham's recent state is significantly better than Aston Villa, and he defeated Brentford 3-1 in the last round and showed good offensive efficiency; although Villa ended the 520-minute goal drought, his overall state has not fully recovered

Historical confrontations and psychological advantages have been weakened: Although Aston Villa has won 5 The second time against Fulham won, but the gap in strength between the two teams has narrowed significantly this season, and Villa's psychological advantage is difficult to transform into actual winning position

Injury impact difference: Fulham has no injuries and the lineup is neat; although Villa has several players injured, the core framework remains complete, and the impact is relatively limited

Tactical style and away performance: Fulham's away tactics pay more attention to defensive counterattacks, and may take advantage of Villa's eagerness to attack. The defense line is empty behind, creating threats; Villa's home advantage is difficult to fully utilize its low offensive efficiency

Gambling data and professional forecasts: Although the Asian handicap and European odds data show that the market is slightly optimistic about Aston Villa, many analysts have adjusted their forecasts, believing that Fulham is expected to win a surprise

The game will show that Aston Villa leads the ball control and Fulham's defensive counterattack. Aston Villa is expected to take advantage of home court advantages and Watkins' personal abilities, with Watkins leading the goal. Fulham may rely on Jimenez's fulcrum and Wilson's wing breakthrough to score two goals in the second half to reverse the score. In the end, Fulham defeated Aston Villa 2-1 away with better defensive counterattack efficiency and key players' performance.

Score prediction: Aston Villa 1-2 Fulham