Moon Sports > Basketball > US media predicts the probability of winning the championship: Nuggets are seen as bad, Timberwolves soar to second, with the highest number of 63%
US media predicts the probability of winning the championship: Nuggets are seen as bad, Timberwolves soar to second, with the highest number of 63%
On May 18, as the NBA playoffs deepened, three teams in the league have now confirmed the quota for the division finals, namely the Knicks, Pacers and Timberwolves. The Thunder and the Nuggets will compete for the last place in the division final. They entered the tiebreak and the game will start in the early morning of tomorrow. Today, the US media BBR also predicted the latest probability of winning the championship based on the strength of each team and the current situation. Let's take a look together. Is it reasonable?
Pacers
Although the Pacers showed strong competitiveness in the first two rounds, and they swept the Bucks and the Cavaliers respectively, the US media is still not optimistic about their ability to win the championship. They are considered to have a probability of breaking out of the division finals at 39.3%, and the probability of winning the championship is 4.8%. With only 5 teams left, the probability of the result is still so low. From this we can also see how unfavorable the US media is.
Pacers were able to reach the division finals, and they took advantage of the injury just like last season. Lillard was injured in the first round, Garland and Mobley were both absent due to injuries in the second round, and Mitchell also suffered injuries in the last two games. Carlisle has indeed created a good system for this team, and their role players are also well configured, but whether Halliburton and Sika can compete with the firepower of opponent stars in the next game is a question that everyone is more worried about. Although the Nuggets scored in the tiebreak, they had more tiebreak experience and had the first player in the league like Jokic, the US media is still not optimistic about their tiebreak victory. I think there are two reasons for this problem. The first is Gordon's injury, which may not be able to play G7, and the second is that the Thunder are at home, and they have an advantage. The Nuggets are considered to have a probability of breaking out of the division at 10.3%, and the probability of winning the championship is only 5.9%.
It is understandable that the Nuggets were despised. Even if they defeated the Thunder and entered the Western Conference Finals, the team's core physical fitness has reached its limit after two rounds of tiebreaks. The Timberwolves have restrained them. Moreover, the Timberwolves have swept gentlemen in the past two rounds of the playoffs, and their physical advantages are too great. Even if the Nuggets say they crossed the Thunder, they probably can't beat the Timberwolves. Therefore, many fans and media still hope that the Thunder can win, and the Nuggets have been respected.
Knicks
Knicks won in the past two rounds, and the hand-to-hand fight with the Pistons in the first round allowed them to find the intensity of the playoffs in advance, so they performed well in the series against the Celtics. If the Celtics were not injured, they would have a chance to defend their title. The famous saying "The Leftover is King" in the playoffs seems to make sense. They are considered to have a 60.7% chance of breaking out of the division and winning the championship is 12.5%. The Knicks' starting strength seems to be the strongest now.
They have two top stars Brunson and Towns. They have performed very stably in the playoffs so far. There are two star-level forwards in Anunobi and Bridges. They also support the team's defensive system. There are tough guys like Hart and Mitchell Robinson. The Knicks' lineup is very strong, but their substitute strength is limited. Moreover, Thibodeau has always relied on the main players so much. I don't know whether their core can reach the finals.
Timberwolves
Timberwolves were not favored in the first round of the series. Gobert was questioned as an ATM, but this ATM performed well in the key battles of both rounds of the series. His defense was also excellent. In addition, Randall's performance was impressive. He performed well as a top second in command, which was simply a nightmare for a small lineup. The probability of the Timberwolves being considered to be 22.6% and the probability of winning the championship is 13.9%.
The meaning is very clear. As long as the Timberwolves can break out of the division, they will have a higher probability of winning the championship than the Eastern Conference team. If the Timberwolves win the championship this season, then Edwards is probably able to join the discussion of future appearances. In the past two years, many MVPs have been eliminated one after another, and they are former league appearances. Edwards' growth and performance are obvious to all. If he wins the championship, the league may be his world in the future.
Thunder
Although the Thunder reached the tiebreak, they are still the team that is considered to be the most promising team to win the championship. This team is too young and talented, and their defense is also very good. To be honest, if it weren't for Dagenot's mischief, the Thunder would have advanced to the Western Conference Finals long ago. Their coach lacks experience and their players lack experience. This is the reason why they were dragged into the tiebreak. The Thunder is considered to be the probability of breaking out of the division. 67.1%, the probability of winning the championship is as high as 63%. Although the Thunder lacks experience, the talent of this team is so good, it can even be compared with the third young master of the Thunder back then. Moreover, the best thing about the young team is that they are not afraid of fatigue. Even if they play in the tiebreak, their physical fitness is probably not much impact. Moreover, during the regular season, the Thunder can be regarded as the victim of the Timberwolves. Chet's space ability, Alexander's singles and their excellent three-point firepower all suppress the Timberwolves.
Speaking of this, what do you want to say about these 5 teams? Welcome to leave a message for discussion.
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