[6.14 Sports Lottery] Dong Mo Saturday 5 strings 1 event preview! In the offensive and defensive game under the huge gap in strength, can the defending champion perform another crushing victory?

Hello everyone! I am Dong Mo, who focuses on football events, and I will continue to provide some information today! Thank you for your attention and support!

Today's event analysis:

Saturday 021 Gold Cup 10:15 Mexico VS Dominican

1. Fundamentals

As the overlord of the Central and North American football world, Mexico ranks 17th in the world, with the team worth 206 million euros (8.9 times that of the Dominican Republic), and the lineup includes Fulham forward Raul Jimenez, West Ham United midfielder Alvarez and other mainstream European league players. The team's tactical system is mature, and the cross-border penetration in the 4-3-3 formation is extremely threatening. This roster retains the championship team of the last Golden Cup, with both experience and stability.

Dominicans ranked only 139th in the world, and the lineup is dominated by local league players. The only highlights are former Real Madrid forward Mariano Dias and English champion Leeds United defender Philpo. The team lacks experience in the competition and relies on 5-4-1 formation to intensively defend, but the average number of shots per game is as high as 12.3 times (World qualifier data), and the defense line loopholes are obvious. The strength of the two teams is very different, and Mexico can be called a "dimensionality reduction strike".

2. Historical confrontation

The two sides have never met in official competitions before, but as the 11th champion of the Golden Cup, Mexico's crushing performance against the weak teams in China and North America has long formed a psychological deterrence. For example, in the 2019 Gold Cup group stage, Mexico defeated Cuba 7-0; in 2021, against Jamaica, the number of shots in a single game was as high as 22. In contrast, Dominicans has only 2 clean sheets in the last 10 international games, and its defensive system is prone to collapse when facing strong teams.

3. Fighting intention

Mexico aims to defend its title, and must score all three-pointers in the first game of the group stage to stabilize the qualifying situation. Coach Aguirre made it clear that he would send out the main lineup, and core players such as Raul Jimenez and Alvarez must pass the game to run-in. Although Dominicans are difficult to defeat strong opponents, they urgently need to prove their value in the Golden Cup after being eliminated from the World Cup. Coach Marcelo has stated that he will adopt a pragmatic strategy of "defensive counterattack + set pieces" to try to use Mariano's speed to create a threat.

4. Recent status

Mexico has 4 wins and 2 losses in the last 6 games, and a 1-0 victory over Türkiye in a friendly match, but a 2-4 loss to Switzerland exposed the loophole in the defense. The offensive end relies on Jimenez (2 goals and 1 assist in the national team in the last 3 games), but the wing is slightly weak due to Lozano's injury. Dominica beat Dominic 5-0 in the World Cup but then lost 2-4 to Guatemala, with the defense being knocked down by opponents four times. The team relies too much on Mariano offensively (3 goals in the last 3 games), but has weak interception ability in the midfield (only 1.8 steals per game).

5. Institutional attitude

The institution initially opened Mexico to get two goals / two and a half goals, and stabilized on the spot to get two goals, showing absolute trust in its strength. The European loss is as low as 1.10, the tied loss is 10.00, and the away victory is as high as 26.00, and the market popularity is one side facing Mexico. In terms of balls of all sizes, institutions generally use 3 balls as the water, reflecting their recognition of Mexico's offensive firepower. It is worth noting that Mexico has broken through the handicap index in four of its last 5 Golden Cup games, and the big ball rate has reached 60%, and the data level supports the deep disk direction.

6. Comprehensive recommendation

Mexico has an overall advantage in strength, experience, and fighting spirit. Dominican's intensive defense is difficult to resist its cross-border and set-piece offensive. Although there are hidden dangers in Mexico's defense line, the Dominicans lack the ability to put pressure on the whole game, and there is a high probability that the whole game will be beaten passively. The institutional deep-distance game is sufficient. Combined with Mexico's performance of averaging 2.3 goals in the last three Golden Cup games, this game tends to win big in Mexico!

Comprehensive Big Data Recommendation:

Leave Win

3-0, 4-1, 4-0

3/4/5 Ball