Saturday 031 Bundesliga [Bernardbach vs. Frankfurt] "Hong Xiaoyu"

Bonchengladbach 1-3 Frankfurt

Core analysis

1. Comparison of league situation and fighting intention

Bonchengladbach: 17th place (bottom), 2 points (0 wins, 2 draws, 2 losses), 1 goal and conceded 6 goals, with extremely poor starts

Frankfurt: 6th place, 6 points (2 wins, 0 draws, 2 losses), 11 goals and conceded 9 goals, with strong offensive firepower but hidden dangers

Fighting intention assessment: Borussia Mönchengladbach urgently needs to get out of the relegation zone; although Frankfurt ranks high, he has not won for two consecutive rounds, and the overall strength and fighting intention of the away team are both superior

2. Comparison of home and away performance and status

vs. Mönchengladbach (home) Frankfurt (away) advantageous side record 0 wins, 1 draws, 1 loss at home this season, 0 goals 2 wins, 1 loss in the last 3 away games, 6 goals conceded 4 goals Frankfurt offensive efficiency 0 goals at home, the worst away game per game in the league, the worst away game in the league, the defensive performance of Frankfurt is 1.0 goals at home, the league's middle and upper levels of Frankfurt is averaging 1.3 goals at home, the league's middle and lower levels of Borussia Mönchengladbach has been in the last 5 games, 1-1 in the last round, Leverkusen has drawn 3 wins, 2 losses in the last 5 games, and lost 3-4 in the last round, and the home offense is completely silent, and 3 consecutive days No goals in all home games, away offense firepower was fully opened, with 3 consecutive away goals ≥2 Frankfurt

3. Historical confrontations and psychological advantages

The last 9 confrontations, Frankfurt remains unbeaten (3 wins, 6 draws)

Latest confrontations (February 2025): Borussia Mönchengladbach 1-1 Frankfurt

Key data: Borussia Mönchengladbach has not won in the last 11 rounds of the Bundesliga, setting the longest unbeaten record since 2011

Psychological assessment: Frankfurt has psychological suppression of Borussia Mönchengladbach, and Borussia Mönchengladbach is still at a disadvantage at home

4. Tactical characteristics and style collide

Bronchengladbacht tactics: 4-2-3-1 Formation, focusing on defensive counterattack

Core issues: serious disconnection on the offensive end, lack of effective connection between the front line and the midfield

Tactical adjustment: Recently tried to strengthen the breakthrough on the wing, but the effect was not good

Home dilemma: failed to score in 3 consecutive home games, and the offensive confidence was seriously insufficient

Frankfurt Tactics: 3-4-3 Formation, focusing on high-level press + fast conversion

Offensive features: sharp breakthrough on the wing, combining middle penetration with long shots

Tactical advantages: high away offensive efficiency, 3 consecutive away goals ≥2

Defensive weakness: insufficient defense ability of high-altitude balls, inattention, resulting in conceding balls

Tactical collision: Borussia defensive counterattack vs Frankfurt pressing at high level; Borussia manchester breaks on the wing vs Frankfurt infiltrates the middle

5. Core players and injuries

Bontaine Borussia Mönchengladbach:

Jonas Hoffman (winter): the only offensive highlight, strong breakthrough ability on the flank

Marcus Toulam (forward): the only goal contributor, scored against Leverkusen in the last round

Nicoras Elvedi (back): the core of the defense, high success rate in the air

Frankfurt Core:

Kan Wuzun (attack midfielder): the best player of the season, contributed 5 goals, and strong away game ability

Lucas Al Ario (forward): the fulcrum of the front line, cooperate with Wuzun with tacit understanding

Dominic Kostic (Winner): Breakthrough sharp knife on the wing, high quality of crossing

Injury:

Borussia Mönchengladbach: Tim Kleindinster (meniscus injury), Robin Hack (meniscus injury), Natan Ngumu (Achilles tendon injury), Giovanni Reiner (thigh injury), etc., lack of core injuries

Frankfurt: Robin Koch (shoulder injury), Igor Matanovic (foot injury), Jessick Ngankham (leg bone fracture), etc., etc., have some major injuries

Impact assessment: Borussia Mönchengladbach's injury is more serious, losing 40% offensive firepower; Frankfurt's injury is relatively mild

6. Gambling data and professional forecast

Asian handicap: Borussia Mönchengladbach's acquisition 0.5 The ball, the water level is moderate, the market is unanimously optimistic about Frankfurt

European losses data: Borussia Mönchengladbach wins 3.10, draws 3.60, Frankfurt wins 2.20

Professional consensus: Most analytical institutions predict Frankfurt to win 2-0 or 1-3, with a total number of goals scored 3+

Model prediction: Borussia Mönchengladbach's winning rate is 31%, Frankfurt's winning rate is 47%, and draw probability is 22%

Conclusion

Comprehensive analysis shows that Frankfurt will defeat Borussia Mönchengladbach 3-1 away. The main basis is as follows:

Offensive efficiency and home performance: Borussia Mönchengladbach has not scored three consecutive games at home, and the offensive end is completely silent; Frankfurt has fully fired away from home, scoring ≥2 in 3 consecutive away games, and the away team has obvious offensive advantages

Historical confrontations and psychological advantages: Frankfurt has remained unbeaten against Borussia Mönchengladbach in the last 9 times, forming psychological suppression on Borussia Mönchengladbach; Borussia Mönchengladbach has not won in the last 11 rounds of the Bundesliga, and its confidence is seriously insufficient, and the away team's psychological advantages are huge

Tactical characteristics and injuries: Borussia Mönchengladbach's injury situation is more serious, and many offensive cores are absent, losing 40% offensive firepower; although Frankfurt has injuries, the core players are basically healthy, and the home team's strength is even more damaged

Gambling data and professional predictions: All bookmakers and professional analyses are optimistic about Frankfurt's victory, and the mainstream prediction is 1-3 or 2-0, the market unanimously expects the away team to win

game will show a pattern of Borussia Mönchengladbach defensive counterattack and Frankfurt leading the offense. Borussia Mönchengladbach is expected to take advantage of home court advantages and Frankfurt's defensive line in a lead with Toulam scoring a goal. Frankfurt relied on the personal abilities and efficient attacks of Uzun and Alrio, and scored twice, Alrio added icing on the cake and finally won 3-1 away.

Score prediction: Mönchengladbach 1-3 Frankfurt