8.13 Wednesday football recommendation: Paris set-piece suppresses Tottenham air defense shortcomings vs Tottenham s midfield strangle and quickly converts Birmingham VS Sheffield United

European Super Cup 001: Paris Saint-Germain vs Tottenham Ger

Paris won three championships in the Champions League, Ligue 1 and French Cup last season, and averaged 2.8 goals per game in the Champions League. The forward line consists of Mbappe, Dembele, and Kvaratschlia (the group has established a physical offensive system, with a significant high-altitude advantage (73% heading success rate). The fatal weakness lies in the overdrawing of physical fitness in the Club World Cup in 7 days and 3 games (the final 0-3 Chelsea exposed the defense line and collapsed in 21 minutes). Pre-season preparations were restarted on August 6. The fatigue value of the main force exceeded the standard, resulting in a 20% decrease in running after 70 minutes. Substitute right back Mukir was injured and increased the risk of defensiveness

Although Tottenham ended his 2017-year championship, he won only 17th place in the Premier League. He fired coach Obo + core Son Heung-min from leaving the team and Madison was injured (average level 2.3 key passes), resulting in a sharp drop in front court creativity by 40%. The core opportunity point lies in the physical reserve of 7 days longer than Paris, with a 18% counterattack conversion rate (Kulousevsky became a mixed point). New aid Milank's ability to confront Paris defense line: If the midfield strangle successfully, quick conversion or break through Paris's pathological midfield

tactical checks and balance points are: Paris set ball suppresses Tottenham's air defense shortcoming vs Tottenham's midfield strangle after a quick conversion ability.

Lao Mao sets the tone:

wins, draws, double draws,

total goals: 2~3 goals

points: 1-1 (main recommendation)/2-1 (fire defense against Paris' first half blitz)

British League Cup 002: Birmingham VS Sheffield United

As a champion in the Championship, Birmingham drew 1-1 at home with the relegation of Ipswich at home in the first game of the new season, showing home resilience (5 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss in the last 8 games). The team mainly plays a 4-2-3-1 defensive counterattack system, new forward Stansfield contributed 3 goals and 1 assist in the preseason, midfielder Tomoki Iwada passed a success rate of 89% and assumed the role of offense and defense hub, and efficient set-piece tactics (heading success rate 62%). However, the stability of the defense line is insufficient ( Conceded 14 goals in the last 10 games), weak ball control ability and is easily suppressed by high-pressure rush.

Although Sheffield United is a relegated player in the Premier League, it has 0 wins, 1 draw and 9 losses in the last 10 games. It has lost 1-4 in the first game of the Championship in the new season, and has conceded as much as 2.3 goals per game, and the defensive system collapsed significantly. The core McGoldric stayed in the team to provide firepower (8 goals in the Premier League last season), but the midfield control is weak, and the intention to fight in the cup is doubtful - the center of gravity may relegate in the league, so the main force may be rotated significantly Although the historical confrontation has the advantage against Birmingham away, it is difficult to support this advantage in the near future.

Lao Mao sets the tone:

Winning draw: double draw

Total goals: 2~3 goals

Points: 1-1/2-1